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Home Pre-IPO & Startups

McDonald’s Corporation: The Secret to Success

by Elaine Mendonça
January 21, 2022
in Pre-IPO & Startups, Utility Stocks
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McDonald’s Corporation The Secret to Success

Source: Getty Images

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McDonald’s (MCD) is an excellent company, but some investors aren’t buying the stock for two big reasons. The main problem is the substantial overvaluation of the store. If they want significant returns on their investments, they need to buy stocks for much less than they’re worth. Over the past ten years, McDonald’s has faced declining sales. Still, sales are expected to improve in the coming years as more stores open and adapt to customer demand. McDonald’s MCD has a shrinking balance sheet and an inefficient capital allocation.

The corporation trades at very high historical values, making the shares very expensive. McDonald’s needs to create an unleveraged free cash flow of about $6 billion a year before interest payments reach their estimated fair value of $158. at the predicted price of $160. McDonald’s has net debt of approximately $46.5 billion and a book value of about -$7.2 billion. The corporation already pays 75% of its free cash flow to shareholders in exchange for dividends.

It will take a long time to cash the debt at that rate. But, on the other hand, it can be an excellent time to buy McDonald’s stock if management decides to cut dividends.

In recent decades, McDonald’s (MCD) has become the center of world food culture. The corporation symbolizes the modern man’s yearning for fast and economical food. However, it appears that we currently live in a fast-paced environment. Changes in customer needs, labor shortages, technology, and profit margins can all be noticed. McDonald’s is proof that a restaurant with almost an entire machine is viable or not.

McDonald's Corporation The Secret to Success
Source: Getty Images

While these efforts have certainly increased McDonald’s profit margins, consumer satisfaction and increased employee turnover have declined over the past decade. This can be compared to alternative forms like Chick-fil-A, with 50% more than McDonald’s per-unit revenue and noticeably happier staff. McDonald’s is in an awkward position both operationally and financially. The company’s stock value went nowhere, but as operational challenges increased. Most of McDonald’s profits come from franchise fees, not a business.

Your credit rating now belongs to BBB+. The loss of investment-grade rating. Because of its massive increase in leverage, McDonald’s MCD has a negative book value. The company creates an EBITDA strong enough to pay its financial obligations, but it can hardly generate new debt. As a result, there is a high probability that the MCD will be forced to cut costs as the revolts against the franchises increase.

Otherwise, your US stock will continue to decline at an increasing rate. It could be that the entire financial market will discover how overrated the MCD is today. MCD has a small dividend return of 2.2% and a bending cost of next to nothing, so there is no short-term risk. There are risks to consider when selling stock like MCD, but overvaluing the company makes it less dangerous than other stocks in the industry. A stop loss of $245-$255 may be sufficient for traders who want to shorten the MCD before profits hit the second quarter.

Contents hide
1 McDonald’s: As A Post Pandemic Winner
2 McDonald’s has a bit of history

McDonald’s: As A Post Pandemic Winner

MCD As A Post Pandemic Winner
Source: Getty Images

McDonald’s Corp (MCD) is believed to be available for the next 100 years and beyond. Analysts are looking forward to the following second-quarter earnings report as the deal is believed to exceed consensus expectations.

As a result, the market forecasts sales of $5.56 billion during the second quarter, increasing 48 percent year-over-year and 4 percent from the second quarter of 2019.

A good McDonald’s second-quarter income report, combined with an upbeat forecast from management, could be a catalyst for higher stocks. However, the corporation still has room to improve its efficiency as it moves away from corporate-owned restaurants. Accordingly, we classify MCD shares as a purchase.

McDonald’s has a bit of history

McDonald's has a bit of history
Source: Getty Images

In 1940, a restaurant in San Bernardino, California called “McDonald’s” was the first to offer a self-service restaurant. The original McDonald’s only served hamburgers, cheeseburgers, shakes, and fries. Today, there are more than 36,000 McDonald’s restaurants in 119 countries around the world. In addition, some places also offer salads. McDonald’s is now one of the best-known chains in the world.

Robert B. McDonald (1915 – 1997) founded the original McDonald’s in 1940, which opened its doors to the public on July 15, 1940. For those unfamiliar with McDonald’s, the chain was initially founded as a self-service restaurant McDonald’s in San Bernardino, California. Robert (Bob) McDonald was born on July 30, 1915, in St. Louis, Missouri. After working for a French-American restaurant in San Bernardino called “Frederick & Nelson,” McDonald decided to open his restaurant – called McDonald’s. A Hungry Rise After months of preparation and receiving some concessions from the owners of the fast-food giant, McDonald opened his restaurant. At the time, McDonald’s only served hamburgers, cheeseburgers, shakes, and fries.

With 6,000 restaurants in the UK alone, it’s easy to see why McDonald’s has done so well worldwide. However, despite these initiatives, people still preferred to go to traditional restaurants to eat and drink.

McDonald’s announced in 2013 that it would be investing more than £1.2 billion over five years in Britain. To make the company’s restaurants more environmentally friendly. McDonald’s said that at the end of the plan, it hoped to cut its carbon emissions by 10% and reduce water consumption by 60%. The US-based company also hopes to reduce meat consumption by making it more suitable for vegetarians. Also, in 2016, McDonald’s announced that all packaging used in its restaurants would be made from recycled or renewable resources.

While McDonald’s is now a $97 billion company, the company is undergoing a significant change. In 2017, 14 percent of McDonald’s locations were owned and operated by franchises. While these smaller companies may require additional assistance, they step in the right direction to ensure McDonald’s future and success. With 4,720 locations in operation at the end of 2017, McDonald’s still has plenty of room to grow.

Tags: MCDMcDonald'sMcdonald's corporationNYSE: MCD
Elaine Mendonça

Elaine Mendonça

My focus is on uncovering early-stage ideas with the potential to have a lasting impact. My educational background includes a bachelor's degree in finance, an MBA, and two tests completed - the CFA and CMT. Over the last nine years, I have managed my investment portfolio using fundamental analysis and value investing, emphasizing long-term time horizons.

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