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Uncertainty Surrounding Business First Bancshares: Insider Activity and Mixed Financial Performance Raise Questions for Investors

Yasmim Mendonça by Yasmim Mendonça
June 30, 2023
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The highly anticipated opening of Business First Bancshares (NASDAQ:BFST) on June 29, 2023, left investors in a state of perplexity as the stock debuted at $15.35. This price point was a considerable deviation from its 52-week high of $25.03 and its 52-week low of $13.05, leaving market analysts and shareholders alike to wonder about the future trajectory of this financial institution.

With a 50-day simple moving average of $15.22 and a 200-day simple moving average of $18.19, Business First Bancshares demonstrated a fluctuating pattern that raised questions about its stability and potential for growth within the market. Furthermore, the company’s debt-to-equity ratio stood at 1.56, indicating a notable level of indebtedness which could impact its overall financial health.

As investors digested this perplexing information, Piper Sandler added fuel to the fire by decreasing their price objective on shares of Business First Bancshares from $22.00 to $19.00 in a report dated April 28th. This critical evaluation sent shockwaves through the investment community, prompting concerns about the company’s ability to meet expectations and generate consistent returns for its stakeholders.

In an unexpected twist amidst all this uncertainty, Director Kenneth W. Smith made significant purchases of Business First Bancshares’ stock on May 5th totaling 3,650 shares at an average price of $13.96 per share, with a total transaction value reaching $50,954.00. This insider buying activity left many questioning whether Smith possessed valuable insights into the company’s prospects that were not immediately apparent to outside observers.

Further adding to insider activity were Director John P. Ducrest’s purchases on May 11th acquiring an additional 6,036 shares at an average price of $14.10 per share – amounting to a total value of $85,107.60. This display of confidence by directors within the company raised both eyebrows and speculation among investors, as insiders acquired a total of 22,361 shares worth $317,225 over the past quarter.

To gain a deeper understanding of Business First Bancshares’ financial performance, it’s essential to examine its earnings results for the first quarter of 2023. The company reported earnings per share (EPS) of $0.55 on April 27th, surpassing consensus estimates by $0.02. However, disappointingly, its revenue stood at $61.14 million, slightly lower than the anticipated $61.34 million according to market analysts.

Despite this mixed bag of perplexing news and insider activity, Business First Bancshares remains an enigmatic entity in the financial sector. Its current market capitalization sits at $388.97 million with a price-earnings (PE) ratio of 6.32 and a beta of 0.79 – indicating moderate market volatility.

As June came to a close, investors found themselves grappling with various questions pertaining to Business First Bancshares’ future prospects and potential returns for shareholders. Is this recent downtrend merely a temporary setback or indicative of underlying issues? Can insider purchases serve as reliable signals for overall stock performance? Only time will reveal the answers to these questions as investors navigate through the bewildering world of business and finance.

Business First Bancshares, Inc.

BFST

Buy

Updated on: 03/12/2023

Financial Health

Healthy


Debt to equity ratio: Strong Buy

Price to earnings ratio: Buy

Price to book ratio: Buy

DCF: Strong Buy

ROE: Neutral

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Price Target

Current $21.04

Concensus $28.00


Low $27.00

Median $28.00

High $29.00

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Social Sentiments

We did not find social sentiment data for this stock

Analyst Ratings

Analyst / firm Rating
Piper Sandler Buy
Raymond James Buy
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Business First Bancshares Faces Adjusted Q2 EPS Estimates Amid Economic Uncertainty



Business First Bancshares Faces Adjusted Q2 EPS Estimates Amid Economic Uncertainty

Introduction:

Business First Bancshares, Inc. (NASDAQ:BFST) has found itself at the center of attention as equities researchers from DA Davidson recently revised their Q2 2023 earnings per share (EPS) estimates for the company. The adjustment reflects a downward revision from their initial forecast, signaling potential challenges ahead for the financial institution. With a prevailing consensus estimate for Business First Bancshares’ full-year earnings also in focus, shareholders and analysts alike are keen to understand the factors influencing these developments.

Revised Q2 2023 EPS Estimates:

In their research note released on June 27th, DA Davidson’s analyst K. Fitzsimmons adjusted their Q2 2023 EPS projection to $0.51 per share. This figure is lower than their previous forecast of $0.55 per share. While such a revision may raise concerns among investors, it is essential to explore the underlying factors contributing to this adjustment.

Fitzsimmons postulates that Business First Bancshares may face challenges during the second quarter due to evolving market conditions and associated uncertainties. These variables can include economic downturns, changes in consumer behavior, or regulatory shifts impacting the financial sector.

Consensus Estimate for Full-Year Earnings:

Alongside revising Q2 projections, DA Davidson also revealed an overall consensus estimate of $2.13 per share for Business First Bancshares’ current full-year earnings. This projected yearly earnings per share provides additional context and allows stakeholders to gauge the company’s performance against its annual goals.

Looking Ahead: FY2023 and FY2024

Additionally, DA Davidson offered separate estimates for Business First Bancshares’ future projections beyond 2023. Their estimated EPS figures stand at $2.00 for FY2023 and $1.92 for FY2024. These predictions suggest possible headwinds or transitional periods in the coming years. It remains crucial for Business First Bancshares to navigate these anticipated challenges and adapt their strategies accordingly.

Dividend Announcement:

In other recent developments, Business First Bancshares announced a quarterly dividend on May 31st, which was paid to shareholders of record as of May 15th. The dividend amount per share stood at $0.12, reflecting a 19.75% payout ratio. This annualized basis equates to a yield of 3.13%, offering an appealing return for investors seeking consistent income streams.

Conclusion:

As Business First Bancshares faces adjusted Q2 2023 EPS estimates from prominent equities researchers, the financial institution must focus on mitigating potential risks while capitalizing on emerging opportunities. With global economic uncertainties and market fluctuations influencing predictions, it is essential for Business First Bancshares to maintain agility and adaptability in their operations.

By analyzing adjusted EPS figures and consensus estimates for full-year earnings, stakeholders gain insight into Business First Bancshares’ near-term performance expectations. The projected dip in earnings may be due to external factors requiring careful management and strategic decision-making by the company’s leadership.

Furthermore, the recently announced dividend payment showcases Business First Bancshares’ commitment to rewarding its shareholders amid market volatility and reinforces its dedication towards generating shareholder value.

It is imperative that investors keep a watchful eye on how Business First Bancshares navigates through this period, assessing the effectiveness of their strategies and their ability to deliver stable earnings while upholding profitability targets.

Tags: BFST
Yasmim Mendonça

Yasmim Mendonça

Yasmine's focus is on uncovering early-stage ideas with the potential to have a lasting impact. Her educational background includes a bachelor's degree in finance, an MBA, and two tests completed - the CFA and CMT.

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