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Last update: Nov 5, 2026, 10:42 AM ET
Madison Air Solutions Corporation
$22.16▼ 6.14% today
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Why Madison Air Solutions Corporation (MAIR) stock moved

Updated Nov 5, 2026

Madison Air Solutions Corporation (MAIR) shares tumbled 6.1% to $22.16 as of November 5, 2026, a significant decline from the prior close of $23.61. BestStocks flagged the session as a major change for MAIR. The move is tied to an earnings beat. Below, we break down what changed for MAIR, why it matters for investors, how the stock reacted, and the catalysts on the calendar.

What happened

Earnings Beat

Madison Air Solutions fell 6.45% to $26.25 on Thursday, August 20, 2026 in a renewed leg of the selloff that followed its August 17 agreement to acquire German airflow-technology company ebm-papst for a $5.4 billion enterprise purchase price. With the deal to be financed through cash, new debt and equity, the shares appear to remain under pressure from financing, leverage, dilution and valuation concerns rather than from any fresh August 20 company-specific news.

Material / EarningsMedium confidence
Rel. volume
0.4×
Below Avg
Vs peers
—
No comparable peers
Market cap
$11.1B
New York Stock Exchange
Analyst target
$44
+98.0% vs price
Price chart
Oct 5 – Nov 5
EVNEEENVVV$22$24$25Oct 5Oct 13Oct 21Oct 28Nov 5
E earnings
F filing
A analyst
V/N other
click a marker to highlight
Change events — click to jump to details

What it means for Madison Air Solutions Corporation investors

For Madison Air Solutions Corporation investors, the recent signals add up to a bearish shift. On the constructive side: Earnings beat — stock sold off (sell-the-news reaction); Positive price momentum. Weighing against that: Sharp 6.1% decline — elevated risk; Madison Air Solutions reported third-quarter 2026 results today with an accompanying 8-K filing, triggering a 4.45% intraday decline to $22.56. Wall Street's consensus price target sits at $43.88, implying +98.0% upside from $22.16. BestStocks rates the overall signal quality medium (68/100). With earnings roughly 118 days out, the next report is the most likely near-term test of the move.

MAIR price reaction

MAIR last traded at $22.16, down $1.45 (-6.14%) from the previous close of $23.61. The session traded on 0.4× average volume (below avg), so participation was unremarkable. Over the past month the stock has ranged between $22.16 and $25.00, and it currently sits about 0% of the way up that band.

Bullish and bearish analyst opinions on Madison Air Solutions Corporation (MAIR)

Latest catalysta mixed signal
The latest catalyst — an earnings beat the stock sold off — it cuts both ways, with the event and the market's reaction pointing in different directions.

The consensus analyst price target on Madison Air Solutions Corporation (MAIR) is $43.88, 98.0% above the recent $22.16. Over the past 90 days analysts logged 0 upgrades, 2 maintains, and 0 downgrades. Here is how the bullish and bearish cases on MAIR line up.

The bullish case

  • Wall Street's consensus price target of $43.88 implies +98.0% upside from $22.16.
  • The Street's most bullish target is $50.00 (+125.6%).
  • Earnings beat — stock sold off (sell-the-news reaction).
  • Positive price momentum.

The bearish case

  • Sharp 6.1% decline — elevated risk.
  • Madison Air Solutions reported third-quarter 2026 results today with an accompanying 8-K filing, triggering a 4.45% intraday decline to $22.56.
  • MAIR moved -100.00% from its $24.80 open to a $25.05 close on 2026-09-22.
Bull vs bear balanceBearish Shift
BearishNeutralBullish
The latest catalyst moved the balance toward the bulls — the hollow tick marks where it sat before.

Weighing both sides, BestStocks' composite read of recent signals is bearish, as the bull-versus-bear meter above shows. This is an educational summary of the bull and bear case, not investment advice.

Analyst price targets and ratings are FMP consensus figures as of Nov 5, 2026; other aggregators may differ. High and low targets show the range of estimates, not forecasts.

Analyst expectations
Consensus target: $44+98.0%
= 2 maintains
RBC Capital maintained Outperform · 2026-10-14
SEC filings watch
10-Q2026-11-05
Quarterly financial results
medium
8-K2026-11-05
Material event — review for impact
high
8-K2026-08-25
Material event — review for impact
high
8-K2026-08-17
Material event — review for impact
high
Peer context
MAIR-6.1%

Previous notable changes for MAIR

Risk2026-11-05-6.1%via PR Newswire ↗
Madison Air Solutions reported third-quarter 2026 results today with an accompanying 8-K filing, triggering a 4.45% intraday decline to $22.56. The earnings announcement and material event disclosure are documented via PR Newswire and SEC filings (mair-20261105.htm), though the specific financial details driving the selloff are not yet detailed in available evidence.
News2026-11-05-6.1%
Madison Air reports Q3 2026 net sales up 25.4% and backlog surging 119.3% year-over-year.
Material / Earnings2026-11-04-5.6%
Madison Air Solutions Corporation (MAIR) moved -7.08% from $25.41 to $23.61 on 2026-11-04. We checked news, earnings announcements, analyst updates, SEC filings, and corporate actions — no company-specific catalyst was found. Volume was 2.9x the 5-day average, suggesting the move was driven by technical selling or positioning ahead of earnings.
Material / Earnings2026-11-03+7.5%
Madison Air Solutions Corporation (MAIR) moved +5.93% from $23.60 to $25.00 on 2026-11-03. We checked news, earnings announcements, analyst updates, SEC filings, and corporate actions — no company-specific catalyst was identified. Volume was near its 5-day average at 1.3x.

In-depth MAIR event analyses

Permanent, dated analyses of MAIR's most significant sessions.
Upcoming catalysts & outlook
Next earnings
2027-03-03 (est.)
in 118 days
Earnings Release
2027-03-03
High impact
Thesis shift
Bearish Shift
bearish signal
Risk level
High
from change events

Frequently asked questions about MAIR

Why did Madison Air Solutions Corporation (MAIR) stock move?

Madison Air Solutions fell 6.45% to $26.25 on Thursday, August 20, 2026 in a renewed leg of the selloff that followed its August 17 agreement to acquire German airflow-technology company ebm-papst for a $5.4 billion enterprise purchase price. With the deal to be financed through cash, new debt and equity, the shares appear to remain under pressure from financing, leverage, dilution and valuation concerns rather than from any fresh August 20 company-specific news.

How much did MAIR stock fall?

MAIR lost 6.14% ($1.45) versus the prior close of $23.61, last trading at $22.16 on 0.4× average volume.

When is Madison Air Solutions Corporation's next earnings date?

MAIR's next earnings report is estimated for 2027-03-03 — about 118 days away.

What is the analyst price target for MAIR?

The consensus analyst price target for MAIR is $43.88, about 98.0% above the current $22.16. Over the past 90 days, analysts recorded 0 upgrades, 2 maintains, and 0 downgrades.

How BestStocks tracks MAIR

This page is generated automatically by BestStocks' change-detection system after an earnings beat was detected and verified against independent data sources. It draws on 20 tracked change events for MAIR, cross-checked against the data sources listed below. Price, volume, and market-capitalization figures are the live intraday quote as of November 5, 2026 and refresh as new information is detected; for companies with multiple share classes, market-cap figures can differ by data source. Analyst price targets and ratings are FMP consensus. This is an educational summary of what changed and why — not personalized investment advice.

Data sources
FMP real-time & historical price dataFMP earnings & estimatesCompany news feedsAnalyst ratings & price targets (FMP)SEC EDGAR filingsEarnings calendar (FMP)
Educational research tool — not personalized investment advice. Data may be delayed.