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AAON, Inc.
$103.88 6.77% today
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Why AAON, Inc. (AAON) stock moved

Updated Jul 21, 2026

AAON, Inc. (AAON) shares tumbled 6.8% to $103.88 as of July 21, 2026, a significant decline from the prior close of $111.42. BestStocks flagged the session as a major change for AAON. No single company-specific catalyst was confirmed during the move window. Below, we break down what changed for AAON, why it matters for investors, how the stock reacted, and the catalysts on the calendar.

What happened

AAON fell 6.8% to $103.88

AAON tumbled 6.8% in its latest session, moving from $111.42 to $103.88.

RiskWeak confidence
Rel. volume
1.2×
Normal
Vs peers
No comparable peers
Market cap
$8.5B
NASDAQ Global Select
Analyst target
$119
+14.6% vs price
Price chart
Jun 22 – Jul 21
VVVVV$104$120$136Jun 22Jun 29Jul 7Jul 14Jul 21
E earnings
F filing
A analyst
V/N other
click a marker to highlight
Change events — click to jump to details

What it means for AAON, Inc. investors

For AAON, Inc. investors, the recent signals add up to a bearish shift. On the constructive side: AAON, Inc. (AAON) moved +3.55% from $110.25 to $114.16 on 2026-07-10. Weighing against that: Sharp 6.8% decline — elevated risk; AAON fell 1.24% intraday to $116.05, despite the company raising its 2026 revenue growth outlook to 40–45% and reporting record Q1 2026 sales and backlog. Wall Street's consensus price target sits at $119.00, implying +14.6% upside from $103.88. BestStocks rates the overall signal quality weak (0/100). With earnings roughly 20 days out, the next report is the most likely near-term test of the move.

AAON price reaction

AAON last traded at $103.88, down $7.54 (-6.77%) from the previous close of $111.42. The session traded on 1.2× average volume (normal), so participation was unremarkable. Over the past month the stock has ranged between $103.88 and $136.16, and it currently sits about 0% of the way up that band.

Bullish and bearish analyst opinions on AAON, Inc. (AAON)

The consensus analyst price target on AAON, Inc. (AAON) is $119.00, 14.6% above the recent $103.88. Here is how the bullish and bearish cases on AAON line up.

The bullish case

  • Wall Street's consensus price target of $119.00 implies +14.6% upside from $103.88.
  • The Street's most bullish target is $120.00 (+15.5%).
  • AAON, Inc. (AAON) moved +3.55% from $110.25 to $114.16 on 2026-07-10.

The bearish case

  • Sharp 6.8% decline — elevated risk.
  • AAON fell 1.24% intraday to $116.05, despite the company raising its 2026 revenue growth outlook to 40–45% and reporting record Q1 2026 sales and backlog.
  • AAON, Inc. (AAON) moved -1.57% from $113.20 to $111.42 on 2026-07-17.
Bull vs bear balanceBearish Shift
BearishNeutralBullish

Weighing both sides, BestStocks' composite read of recent signals is bearish, as the bull-versus-bear meter above shows. This is an educational summary of the bull and bear case, not investment advice.

Analyst price targets and ratings are FMP consensus figures as of Jul 21, 2026; other aggregators may differ. High and low targets show the range of estimates, not forecasts.

Analyst expectations
Consensus target: $119+14.6%
Oppenheimer maintained Outperform · 2026-03-03
SEC filings watch
No recent filings
Peer context
AAON-6.8%

Previous notable changes for AAON

Activity2026-07-17-1.6%
AAON, Inc. (AAON) moved -1.57% from $113.20 to $111.42 on 2026-07-17. We checked news, earnings, analyst updates, SEC filings, and corporate actions — no company-specific catalyst was found. Volume was 2.0x the 5-day average, indicating elevated trading activity despite the absence of identified news.
Activity2026-07-10+3.5%
AAON, Inc. (AAON) moved +3.55% from $110.25 to $114.16 on 2026-07-10. We checked news, earnings, analyst updates, SEC filings, and corporate actions — no company-specific catalyst was found.
Risk2026-07-02-7.6%via investing.com
AAON fell 1.24% intraday to $116.05, despite the company raising its 2026 revenue growth outlook to 40–45% and reporting record Q1 2026 sales and backlog.
Valuation2026-07-01-8.2%via PR Newswire
AAON reported Q1 2026 earnings with EPS of $0.48 (beating forecast by 6.67%) and revenue of $496.94M (30.4% above estimates), alongside record sales, backlog, and raised full-year guidance; the stock surged 45% pre-market but has since fallen 7.77% intraday to $117.01.
Upcoming catalysts & outlook
Next earnings
2026-08-10 (est.)
in 20 days
Thesis shift
Bearish Shift
bearish signal
Risk level
High
from change events

Frequently asked questions about AAON

Why did AAON, Inc. (AAON) stock move?

AAON tumbled 6.8% to $103.88. No single company-specific catalyst was confirmed during the move window, and it looks technical.

How much did AAON stock fall?

AAON lost 6.77% ($7.54) versus the prior close of $111.42, last trading at $103.88 on 1.2× average volume.

When is AAON, Inc.'s next earnings date?

AAON's next earnings report is estimated for 2026-08-10 — about 20 days away.

What is the analyst price target for AAON?

The consensus analyst price target for AAON is $119.00, about 14.6% above the current $103.88. Over the past 90 days, analysts recorded 0 upgrades, 0 maintains, and 0 downgrades.

How BestStocks tracks AAON

This page is generated automatically by BestStocks' change-detection system after its price and volume cleared AAON-specific materiality thresholds, triggering an evidence check. It draws on 7 tracked change events for AAON, cross-checked against the data sources listed below. Price, volume, and market-capitalization figures are the live intraday quote as of July 21, 2026 and refresh as new information is detected; for companies with multiple share classes, market-cap figures can differ by data source. Analyst price targets and ratings are FMP consensus. This is an educational summary of what changed and why — not personalized investment advice.

Data sources
FMP real-time & historical price dataSEC EDGAR filingsFMP earnings & estimatesAnalyst ratings & price targets (FMP)Earnings calendar (FMP)
Educational research tool — not personalized investment advice. Data may be delayed.