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McDonald's Corporation
$230.94▼ 1.30% today
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Why McDonald's Corporation (MCD) stock moved

Updated Oct 1, 2026

McDonald's Corporation (MCD) shares fell 1.3% to $230.94 as of October 1, 2026, a modest decline from the prior close of $233.98. BestStocks flagged the session as a major change for MCD. Below, we break down what changed for MCD, why it matters for investors, how the stock reacted, and the catalysts on the calendar.

What happened

MCD fell 1.3% to $230.94

MCD fell 1.3% in its latest session, moving from $233.98 to $230.94.

ValuationSector-Wide MoveLow confidence
Rel. volume
1.1×
Normal
Vs peers
Top 2 of 7 peers
Outperforming
Market cap
$164.1B
New York Stock Exchange
Analyst target
$292
+26.5% vs price
Price chart
Aug 31 – Sep 30
VNNNFVVN$230$247$264Aug 31Sep 8Sep 16Sep 23Sep 30
E earnings
F filing
A analyst
V/N other
click a marker to highlight
Change events — click to jump to details

What it means for McDonald's Corporation investors

For McDonald's Corporation investors, the recent signals are mixed, leaving the near-term picture neutral / mixed. On the constructive side: Positive price momentum. Weighing against that: Negative session, down 1.3%; New SEC filing — review for material disclosures. Because peers moved similarly, the shift looks more macro- or sector-driven than a change in MCD's fundamentals. Wall Street's consensus price target sits at $292.20, implying +26.5% upside from $230.94. BestStocks rates the overall signal quality low (51/100). With earnings roughly 34 days out, the next report is the most likely near-term test of the move.

MCD price reaction

MCD last traded at $230.94, down $3.04 (-1.30%) from the previous close of $233.98. The session traded on 1.1× average volume (normal), so participation was unremarkable. Its consumer cyclical peer group moved a median -1.5% over the same stretch, leaving MCD essentially in line with peers. Over the past month the stock has ranged between $230.94 and $263.54, and it currently sits about 0% of the way up that band.

Bullish and bearish analyst opinions on McDonald's Corporation (MCD)

The consensus analyst price target on McDonald's Corporation (MCD) is $292.20, 26.5% above the recent $230.94. Over the past 90 days analysts logged 0 upgrades, 30 maintains, and 0 downgrades. Here is how the bullish and bearish cases on MCD line up.

The bullish case

  • Wall Street's consensus price target of $292.20 implies +26.5% upside from $230.94.
  • The Street's most bullish target is $350.00 (+51.6%).
  • Positive price momentum.

The bearish case

  • The most bearish analyst target is $230.00 (-0.4%).
  • Negative session, down 1.3%.
Bull vs bear balanceNeutral / Mixed
BearishNeutralBullish

Weighing both sides, BestStocks' composite read of recent signals is roughly balanced, as the bull-versus-bear meter above shows. This is an educational summary of the bull and bear case, not investment advice.

Analyst price targets and ratings are FMP consensus figures as of Sep 30, 2026; other aggregators may differ. High and low targets show the range of estimates, not forecasts.

Analyst expectations
Consensus target: $292+26.5%
= 30 maintains
JP Morgan maintained Overweight · 2026-09-29
SEC filings watch
8-K2026-09-23
Material event — review for impact
high
10-Q2026-08-07
Quarterly financial results
medium
8-K2026-08-04
Material event — review for impact
high
8-K2026-08-04
Material event — review for impact
high
Peer context
MCD-1.3%
WMT-2.7%
COST-1.5%
PG-2.0%
KO-0.9%
PEP-1.5%

Previous notable changes for MCD

News2026-09-30-1.3%
McDonald's stock down 30% since March 2026, trading near four-year lows amid AI pricing strategy.
News2026-09-29+0.2%
McDonald's deploys AI pricing algorithm that adjusts Big Mac prices by location based on customer willingness to pay.
News2026-09-25-0.2%
3 Stocks in Focus That Declared Dividend Hikes Amid Economic Woes
Filings2026-09-23-4.8%
McDonald's Corporation (MCD) filed a new 8-K on 2026-09-23. The filing contents were not detailed in available disclosures.

In-depth MCD event analyses

Permanent, dated analyses of MCD's most significant sessions.
Upcoming catalysts & outlook
Next earnings
2026-11-04 (est.)
in 34 days
10-Q Filing (est.)
2026-11-06
Medium impact
Thesis shift
Neutral / Mixed
bearish signal
Risk level
Low
from change events

Frequently asked questions about MCD

Why did McDonald's Corporation (MCD) stock move?

MCD fell 1.3% to $230.94. No single company-specific catalyst was confirmed during the move window, and it looks like a sector-wide move.

How much did MCD stock fall?

MCD lost 1.30% ($3.04) versus the prior close of $233.98, last trading at $230.94 on 1.1× average volume.

When is McDonald's Corporation's next earnings date?

MCD's next earnings report is estimated for 2026-11-04 — about 34 days away.

What is the analyst price target for MCD?

The consensus analyst price target for MCD is $292.20, about 26.5% above the current $230.94. Over the past 90 days, analysts recorded 0 upgrades, 30 maintains, and 0 downgrades.

Is the MCD move company-specific or sector-wide?

BestStocks classifies it as a sector-wide move: the peer group moved a median -1.5% against MCD's -1.3%. MCD ranks top 2 of 7 peers.

How BestStocks tracks MCD

This page is generated automatically by BestStocks' change-detection system after its price and volume cleared MCD-specific materiality thresholds, triggering an evidence check. It draws on 20 tracked change events for MCD, cross-checked against the data sources listed below. Price, volume, and market-capitalization figures are the live intraday quote as of October 1, 2026 and refresh as new information is detected; for companies with multiple share classes, market-cap figures can differ by data source. Analyst price targets and ratings are FMP consensus. This is an educational summary of what changed and why — not personalized investment advice.

Data sources
FMP real-time & historical price dataSEC EDGAR filingsFMP earnings & estimatesAnalyst ratings & price targets (FMP)Earnings calendar (FMP)
Educational research tool — not personalized investment advice. Data may be delayed.