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Last update: Oct 28, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc.
$173.32▼ 7.33% today
Pre-market

Why Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (ODFL) stock moved

Updated Oct 29, 2026

Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (ODFL) shares tumbled 7.3% to $173.32 as of October 29, 2026, a significant decline from the prior close of $187.03. BestStocks flagged the session as a major change for ODFL. Below, we break down what changed for ODFL, why it matters for investors, how the stock reacted, and the catalysts on the calendar.

What happened

ODFL fell 7.3% to $173.32

Old Dominion Freight Line fell 6.5% on September 1, 2026, driven by broader macroeconomic headwinds and softness in domestic freight demand that pressured the trucking sector. The decline reflected cautious investor sentiment amid persistent freight volume normalization and softer shipping tonnage trends, with the stock's elevated valuation also cited as a headwind.

RiskMedium confidence
Rel. volume
2.8×
Very High
Vs peers
—
No comparable peers
Market cap
$36.0B
NASDAQ Global Select
Analyst target
$231
+33.3% vs price
Price chart
Sep 28 – Oct 29
VNNFNNNF$173$182$190Sep 28Oct 6Oct 14Oct 21Oct 29
E earnings
F filing
A analyst
V/N other
click a marker to highlight
Change events — click to jump to details

What it means for Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. investors

For Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. investors, the recent signals add up to a strong bearish shift. On the constructive side: Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (ODFL) moved +5.29% from $225.23 to $237.15 on 2026-07-16. Weighing against that: Sharp 7.3% decline — elevated risk; High volume 2.8x on decline — distribution signal. Wall Street's consensus price target sits at $231.07, implying +33.3% upside from $173.32. Over the past 90 days analysts logged 2 upgrades and 0 downgrades. BestStocks rates the overall signal quality medium (73/100). With earnings roughly 97 days out, the next report is the most likely near-term test of the move.

ODFL price reaction

ODFL last traded at $173.32, down $13.71 (-7.33%) from the previous close of $187.03. The session traded on 2.8× average volume (very high), so the move carried above-average conviction. Over the past month the stock has ranged between $173.32 and $189.89, and it currently sits about 0% of the way up that band.

Bullish and bearish analyst opinions on Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (ODFL)

The consensus analyst price target on Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (ODFL) is $231.07, 33.3% above the recent $173.32. Over the past 90 days analysts logged 2 upgrades, 4 maintains, and 0 downgrades. Here is how the bullish and bearish cases on ODFL line up.

The bullish case

  • Wall Street's consensus price target of $231.07 implies +33.3% upside from $173.32.
  • The Street's most bullish target is $250.00 (+44.2%).
  • 2 analyst upgrades in the past 90 days, most recently Wolfe Research to Peer Perform (2026-10-07).
  • Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (ODFL) moved +5.29% from $225.23 to $237.15 on 2026-07-16.

The bearish case

  • Sharp 7.3% decline — elevated risk.
  • High volume 2.8x on decline — distribution signal.
  • Old Dominion Freight Line reported Q3 2026 earnings per diluted share of $1.65, beating consensus estimates, according to Business Wire.
Bull vs bear balanceStrong Bearish Shift
BearishNeutralBullish

Weighing both sides, BestStocks' composite read of recent signals is strongly bearish, as the bull-versus-bear meter above shows. This is an educational summary of the bull and bear case, not investment advice.

Analyst price targets and ratings are FMP consensus figures as of Oct 29, 2026; other aggregators may differ. High and low targets show the range of estimates, not forecasts.

Analyst expectations
Consensus target: $231+33.3%
↑ 2 upgrades= 4 maintains
Stifel maintained Buy · 2026-10-08
SEC filings watch
8-K2026-10-28
Material event — review for impact
high
8-K2026-10-22
Material event — review for impact
high
8-K2026-09-22
Material event — review for impact
high
8-K2026-09-03
Material event — review for impact
high
Peer context
ODFL-7.3%

Previous notable changes for ODFL

Filings2026-10-28-7.3%
Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (ODFL) filed a new 8-K on October 28, 2026. The specific content of the filing was not disclosed in available sources.
News2026-10-28-7.3%
ODFL reported Q3 EPS of $1.65, beating consensus estimate of $1.61 and growing 29% year-over-year.
News2026-10-26-0.1%
ODFL prepares Q3 earnings report amid fuel cost pressures and shifting freight demand.
News2026-10-23-3.8%
ODFL's strong historical earnings beat record and current operational metrics suggest likelihood of outperforming consensus estimates.
Upcoming catalysts & outlook
Next earnings
2027-02-03 (est.)
in 97 days
Earnings Release
2027-02-03
High impact
Thesis shift
Strong Bearish Shift
bearish signal
Risk level
High
from change events

Frequently asked questions about ODFL

Why did Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (ODFL) stock move?

Old Dominion Freight Line fell 6.5% on September 1, 2026, driven by broader macroeconomic headwinds and softness in domestic freight demand that pressured the trucking sector. The decline reflected cautious investor sentiment amid persistent freight volume normalization and softer shipping tonnage trends, with the stock's elevated valuation also cited as a headwind.

How much did ODFL stock fall?

ODFL lost 7.33% ($13.71) versus the prior close of $187.03, last trading at $173.32 on 2.8× average volume.

When is Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc.'s next earnings date?

ODFL's next earnings report is estimated for 2027-02-03 — about 97 days away.

What is the analyst price target for ODFL?

The consensus analyst price target for ODFL is $231.07, about 33.3% above the current $173.32. Over the past 90 days, analysts recorded 2 upgrades, 4 maintains, and 0 downgrades.

How BestStocks tracks ODFL

This page is generated automatically by BestStocks' change-detection system after its price and volume cleared ODFL-specific materiality thresholds, triggering an evidence check. It draws on 20 tracked change events for ODFL, cross-checked against the data sources listed below. Price, volume, and market-capitalization figures are the live intraday quote as of October 29, 2026 and refresh as new information is detected; for companies with multiple share classes, market-cap figures can differ by data source. Analyst price targets and ratings are FMP consensus. This is an educational summary of what changed and why — not personalized investment advice.

Data sources
FMP real-time & historical price dataSEC EDGAR filingsFMP earnings & estimatesAnalyst ratings & price targets (FMP)Earnings calendar (FMP)
Educational research tool — not personalized investment advice. Data may be delayed.