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Last update: Jul 17, 2026, 5:09 PM ET
The Progressive Corporation
$207.95 1.04% today
Pre-market

Why The Progressive Corporation (PGR) stock moved

Updated Jul 20, 2026

The Progressive Corporation (PGR) shares rose 1.0% to $207.95 as of July 20, 2026, a modest gain from the prior close of $205.80. BestStocks flagged the session as a material change for PGR. Below, we break down what changed for PGR, why it matters for investors, how the stock reacted, and the catalysts on the calendar.

What happened

PGR climbed 1.0% to $207.95

PGR rose 1.0% in its latest session, moving from $205.80 to $207.95.

RiskCompany-Specific MoveWeak confidence
Rel. volume
1.2×
Normal
Vs peers
Top 1 of 7 peers
Outperforming
Market cap
$120.9B
New York Stock Exchange
Analyst target
$227
+9.3% vs price
Price chart
Jun 22 – Jul 20
VVFVVVVV$205$220$235Jun 22Jun 29Jul 7Jul 13Jul 20
E earnings
F filing
A analyst
V/N other
click a marker to highlight
Change events — click to jump to details

What it means for The Progressive Corporation investors

For The Progressive Corporation investors, the recent signals are mixed, leaving the near-term picture neutral / mixed. On the constructive side: Positive 1.0% session move; The Progressive Corporation (PGR) moved +1.63% from $230.72 to $234.48 on 2026-07-13, reaching a new 30-day high. Weighing against that: Progressive reported June 2026 results on July 15, 2026 (via Globe Newswire); The Progressive Corporation (PGR) moved −3.37% from $234.48 to $226.58 on 2026-07-14. Because the move outpaced peers, it looks driven by PGR-specific developments rather than a broad sector rotation. Wall Street's consensus price target sits at $227.25, implying +9.3% upside from $207.95. Over the past 90 days analysts logged 0 upgrades and 1 downgrade. BestStocks rates the overall signal quality weak (0/100). With earnings roughly 86 days out, the next report is the most likely near-term test of the move.

PGR price reaction

PGR last traded at $207.95, up $2.15 (+1.04%) from the previous close of $205.80. The session traded on 1.2× average volume (normal), so participation was unremarkable. Its financial services peer group moved a median -0.6% over the same stretch, leaving PGR ahead of the group by 1.7 points. Over the past month the stock has ranged between $205.22 and $234.48, and it currently sits about 9% of the way up that band.

Bullish and bearish analyst opinions on The Progressive Corporation (PGR)

The consensus analyst price target on The Progressive Corporation (PGR) is $227.25, 9.3% above the recent $207.95. Over the past 90 days analysts logged 0 upgrades, 16 maintains, and 1 downgrade. Here is how the bullish and bearish cases on PGR line up.

The bullish case

  • Wall Street's consensus price target of $227.25 implies +9.3% upside from $207.95.
  • The Street's most bullish target is $259.00 (+24.5%).
  • Positive 1.0% session move.
  • The Progressive Corporation (PGR) moved +1.63% from $230.72 to $234.48 on 2026-07-13, reaching a new 30-day high.
  • Positive price momentum.

The bearish case

  • The most bearish analyst target is $198.00 (-4.8%).
  • 1 analyst downgrade in the past 90 days, most recently JP Morgan to Neutral (2026-07-14).
  • Progressive reported June 2026 results on July 15, 2026 (via Globe Newswire).
  • The Progressive Corporation (PGR) moved −3.37% from $234.48 to $226.58 on 2026-07-14.
Bull vs bear balanceNeutral / Mixed
BearishNeutralBullish

Weighing both sides, BestStocks' composite read of recent signals is roughly balanced, as the bull-versus-bear meter above shows. This is an educational summary of the bull and bear case, not investment advice.

Analyst price targets and ratings are FMP consensus figures as of Jul 20, 2026; other aggregators may differ. High and low targets show the range of estimates, not forecasts.

Analyst expectations
Consensus target: $227+9.3%
= 16 maintains1 downgrades
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods maintained Market Perform · 2026-07-16
SEC filings watch
8-K2026-07-15
Material event — review for impact
high
8-K2026-06-17
Material event — review for impact
high
8-K2026-05-20
Material event — review for impact
high
8-K2026-05-12
Material event — review for impact
high
Peer context
PGR+1.0%
JPM-0.6%
BAC-0.4%
GS-2.8%
MS-1.3%
WFC-0.6%

Previous notable changes for PGR

Filings2026-07-15-9.4%
The Progressive Corporation (PGR) filed an 8-K on July 15, 2026. The audit found no price movement data or specific disclosure details in the filing summary.
Risk2026-07-14-3.4%
The Progressive Corporation (PGR) moved −3.37% from $234.48 to $226.58 on 2026-07-14. We checked news, earnings, analyst updates, SEC filings, and corporate actions — no company-specific catalyst was found. Volume was 1.3× the 5-day average, and PGR underperformed its peer group by 5.0 percentage points (peer average: +1.66%), suggesting sector pressure with disproportionate weakness in PGR.
Activity2026-07-13+1.6%
The Progressive Corporation (PGR) moved +1.63% from $230.72 to $234.48 on 2026-07-13, reaching a new 30-day high. We checked news, earnings, analyst updates, SEC filings, and corporate actions — no company-specific catalyst was found.
Activity2026-07-07+1.2%via Benzinga
Progressive rose 2.02% to $236.91 intraday, likely ahead of the company's Q2 earnings report scheduled for Wednesday, July 15 before market open (Benzinga, 2026-07-06). The move reflects pre-earnings positioning with 39 minutes of trading completed; volume reliability pending.
Upcoming catalysts & outlook
Next earnings
2026-10-14 (est.)
in 86 days
Earnings Release
2026-10-14
High impact
Thesis shift
Neutral / Mixed
bearish signal
Risk level
High
from change events

Frequently asked questions about PGR

Why did The Progressive Corporation (PGR) stock move?

PGR rose 1.0% to $207.95. No single company-specific catalyst was confirmed during the move window, and it looks like a company-specific move.

How much did PGR stock rise?

PGR gained 1.04% ($2.15) versus the prior close of $205.80, last trading at $207.95 on 1.2× average volume.

When is The Progressive Corporation's next earnings date?

PGR's next earnings report is estimated for 2026-10-14 — about 86 days away.

What is the analyst price target for PGR?

The consensus analyst price target for PGR is $227.25, about 9.3% above the current $207.95. Over the past 90 days, analysts recorded 0 upgrades, 16 maintains, and 1 downgrade.

Is the PGR move company-specific or sector-wide?

BestStocks classifies it as a company-specific move: the peer group moved a median -0.6% against PGR's +1.0%. PGR ranks top 1 of 7 peers.

How BestStocks tracks PGR

This page is generated automatically by BestStocks' change-detection system after its price and volume cleared PGR-specific materiality thresholds, triggering an evidence check. It draws on 9 tracked change events for PGR, cross-checked against the data sources listed below. Price, volume, and market-capitalization figures are the live intraday quote as of July 20, 2026 and refresh as new information is detected; for companies with multiple share classes, market-cap figures can differ by data source. Analyst price targets and ratings are FMP consensus. This is an educational summary of what changed and why — not personalized investment advice.

Data sources
FMP real-time & historical price dataSEC EDGAR filingsAnalyst ratings & price targets (FMP)Earnings calendar (FMP)
Educational research tool — not personalized investment advice. Data may be delayed.