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Last update: Sep 30, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
Toast, Inc.
$28.99▼ 4.83% today
After Hours

Why Toast, Inc. (TOST) stock moved

Updated Sep 30, 2026

Toast, Inc. (TOST) shares fell 4.8% to $28.99 as of September 30, 2026, a moderate decline from the prior close of $30.46. BestStocks flagged the session as a major change for TOST. Below, we break down what changed for TOST, why it matters for investors, how the stock reacted, and the catalysts on the calendar.

What happened

TOST fell 4.8% to $28.99

Toast announced Toast Fuel, a new product suite for fuel operators and convenience stores, on September 29 (via Business Wire). Despite the product launch, TOST fell 2.92% to $29.57 intraday on elevated volume (2.35x average for this time of session), suggesting the market's initial reaction to the expansion initiative was negative or neutral. Toast earnings on November 3, 2026 (date pending confirmation); consensus EPS estimate is $0.37. Watch for management commentary on Toast Fuel adoption rates and whether the expansion impacts restaurant segment margins.

This summary describes the catalyst and move as first detected on Sep 30, 2026, 10:53 AM EDT; the stock has continued trading since, so the current price and percentage move (shown above) may be larger or smaller than the figures here.
RiskLow confidence
Rel. volume
1.2×
Normal
Vs peers
—
No comparable peers
Market cap
$16.8B
New York Stock Exchange
Analyst target
$38
+31.8% vs price
Price chart
Aug 31 – Sep 30
VNVVNEEEEE$29$32$34Aug 31Sep 8Sep 16Sep 23Sep 30
E earnings
F filing
A analyst
V/N other
click a marker to highlight
Change events — click to jump to details

What it means for Toast, Inc. investors

For Toast, Inc. investors, the recent signals add up to a bearish shift. On the constructive side: Toast, Inc. (TOST) moved +4.67% from $32.30 to $33.81 on August 4, 2026. Weighing against that: Material negative event; Negative session, down 4.8%. Wall Street's consensus price target sits at $38.22, implying +31.8% upside from $28.99. Over the past 90 days analysts logged 1 upgrade and 1 downgrade. BestStocks rates the overall signal quality low (59/100). With earnings roughly 34 days out, the next report is the most likely near-term test of the move.

TOST price reaction

TOST last traded at $28.99, down $1.47 (-4.83%) from the previous close of $30.46. The session traded on 1.2× average volume (normal), so participation was unremarkable. Over the past month the stock has ranged between $28.99 and $34.09, and it currently sits about 0% of the way up that band.

Bullish and bearish analyst opinions on Toast, Inc. (TOST)

Latest catalysta bearish counterpoint
The latest catalyst — a flagged risk event — a bearish counterpoint that challenges the prevailing bullish analyst view.

The consensus analyst price target on Toast, Inc. (TOST) is $38.22, 31.8% above the recent $28.99. Over the past 90 days analysts logged 1 upgrade, 18 maintains, and 1 downgrade. Here is how the bullish and bearish cases on TOST line up.

The bullish case

  • Wall Street's consensus price target of $38.22 implies +31.8% upside from $28.99.
  • The Street's most bullish target is $45.00 (+55.2%).
  • 1 analyst upgrade in the past 90 days, most recently Goldman Sachs to Buy (2026-07-09).
  • Toast, Inc. (TOST) moved +4.67% from $32.30 to $33.81 on August 4, 2026.

The bearish case

  • 1 analyst downgrade in the past 90 days, most recently BNP Paribas to Neutral (2026-09-02).
  • Material negative event.
  • Negative session, down 4.8%.
  • Toast announced Toast Fuel, a new product suite for fuel operators and convenience stores, on September 29 (via Business Wire).
Bull vs bear balanceBearish Shift
BearishNeutralBullish
The latest catalyst moved the balance toward the bears — the hollow tick marks where it sat before.

Weighing both sides, BestStocks' composite read of recent signals is bearish, as the bull-versus-bear meter above shows. This is an educational summary of the bull and bear case, not investment advice.

Analyst price targets and ratings are FMP consensus figures as of Sep 30, 2026; other aggregators may differ. High and low targets show the range of estimates, not forecasts.

Analyst expectations
Consensus target: $38+31.8%
↑ 1 upgrades= 18 maintains↓ 1 downgrades
BNP Paribas downgraded to Neutral · 2026-09-02
SEC filings watch
10-Q2026-08-05
Quarterly financial results
medium
8-K2026-08-04
Material event — review for impact
high
8-K2026-06-15
Material event — review for impact
high
Peer context
TOST-4.8%

Previous notable changes for TOST

News2026-09-30-4.8%
Toast launches Toast Fuel platform to integrate convenience-store fuel, retail, and foodservice operations.
News2026-09-29+0.3%
Toast launches Toast Fuel, enabling convenience stores to process fuel and in-store payments on unified platform.
Material / Earnings2026-09-22-0.5%
TOST moved -2.44% from its $30.39 open to a $29.65 close on 2026-09-22.
Valuation2026-09-18-3.0%via Yahoo Finance ↗
Toast shares declined 2.40% to $29.91 amid a broader software-sector pullback driven by rising Treasury yields and growth-stock de-rating pressure, per web catalyst analysis. The move was compounded by BNP Paribas downgrading TOST to Neutral from Outperform with a price target cut to $35 from $38 (stockanalysis.com). Volume of 4.3M shares trades at 0.74x the time-adjusted expected level, reflecting normal intraday activity.
Upcoming catalysts & outlook
Next earnings
2026-11-03 (est.)
in 34 days
10-Q Filing (est.)
2026-11-04
Medium impact
Thesis shift
Bearish Shift
bearish signal
Risk level
Medium
from change events

Frequently asked questions about TOST

Why did Toast, Inc. (TOST) stock move?

TOST fell 4.8% to $28.99. The move coincided with the context summarized above, though no single company-specific catalyst was independently confirmed.

How much did TOST stock fall?

TOST lost 4.83% ($1.47) versus the prior close of $30.46, last trading at $28.99 on 1.2× average volume.

When is Toast, Inc.'s next earnings date?

TOST's next earnings report is estimated for 2026-11-03 — about 34 days away.

What is the analyst price target for TOST?

The consensus analyst price target for TOST is $38.22, about 31.8% above the current $28.99. Over the past 90 days, analysts recorded 1 upgrade, 18 maintains, and 1 downgrade.

How BestStocks tracks TOST

This page is generated automatically by BestStocks' change-detection system after its price and volume cleared TOST-specific materiality thresholds, triggering an evidence check. It draws on 20 tracked change events for TOST, cross-checked against the data sources listed below. Price, volume, and market-capitalization figures are the live intraday quote as of September 30, 2026 and refresh as new information is detected; for companies with multiple share classes, market-cap figures can differ by data source. Analyst price targets and ratings are FMP consensus. This is an educational summary of what changed and why — not personalized investment advice.

Data sources
FMP real-time & historical price dataSEC EDGAR filingsFMP earnings & estimatesAnalyst ratings & price targets (FMP)Earnings calendar (FMP)
Educational research tool — not personalized investment advice. Data may be delayed.