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Texas Pacific Land Corporation
$405.87 2.36% today
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Why Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) stock moved

Updated Jul 21, 2026

Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) shares fell 2.4% to $405.87 as of July 21, 2026, a modest decline from the prior close of $415.70. BestStocks flagged the session as a material change for TPL. No single company-specific catalyst was confirmed during the move window. Below, we break down what changed for TPL, why it matters for investors, how the stock reacted, and the catalysts on the calendar.

What happened

TPL fell 2.4% to $405.87

TPL fell 2.4% in its latest session, moving from $415.70 to $405.87.

ActivityWeak confidence
Rel. volume
0.6×
Below Avg
Vs peers
No comparable peers
Market cap
$28.0B
New York Stock Exchange
Analyst target
$639
+57.4% vs price
Price chart
Jun 22 – Jul 21
VVF$360$399$439Jun 22Jun 29Jul 7Jul 14Jul 21
E earnings
F filing
A analyst
V/N other
click a marker to highlight
Change events — click to jump to details

What it means for Texas Pacific Land Corporation investors

For Texas Pacific Land Corporation investors, the recent signals are mixed, leaving the near-term picture neutral / mixed. On the constructive side: Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) moved +2.79% from $397.82 to $408.92 on 2026-07-13. Weighing against that: Negative session, down 2.4%; TPL fell 4.30% to $418.81 on below-average volume (0.65x expected). Wall Street's consensus price target sits at $639.00, implying +57.4% upside from $405.87. BestStocks rates the overall signal quality weak (0/100). With earnings roughly 15 days out, the next report is the most likely near-term test of the move.

TPL price reaction

TPL last traded at $405.87, down $9.83 (-2.36%) from the previous close of $415.70. The session traded on 0.6× average volume (below avg), so participation was unremarkable. Over the past month the stock has ranged between $361.11 and $437.64, and it currently sits about 58% of the way up that band.

Bullish and bearish analyst opinions on Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL)

The consensus analyst price target on Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) is $639.00, 57.4% above the recent $405.87. Here is how the bullish and bearish cases on TPL line up.

The bullish case

  • Wall Street's consensus price target of $639.00 implies +57.4% upside from $405.87.
  • The Street's most bullish target is $639.00 (+57.4%).
  • Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) moved +2.79% from $397.82 to $408.92 on 2026-07-13.

The bearish case

  • Negative session, down 2.4%.
  • TPL fell 4.30% to $418.81 on below-average volume (0.65x expected).
Bull vs bear balanceNeutral / Mixed
BearishNeutralBullish

Weighing both sides, BestStocks' composite read of recent signals is roughly balanced, as the bull-versus-bear meter above shows. This is an educational summary of the bull and bear case, not investment advice.

Analyst price targets and ratings are FMP consensus figures as of Jul 21, 2026; other aggregators may differ. High and low targets show the range of estimates, not forecasts.

Analyst expectations
Consensus target: $639+57.4%
Keybanc maintained Overweight · 2026-02-23
SEC filings watch
8-K2026-06-23
Material event — review for impact
high
8-K2026-05-18
Material event — review for impact
high
10-Q2026-05-06
Quarterly financial results
medium
8-K2026-05-06
Material event — review for impact
high
Peer context
TPL-2.4%

Previous notable changes for TPL

Risk2026-07-01-5.2%via Seeking Alpha
TPL fell 4.30% to $418.81 on below-average volume (0.65x expected). No concrete catalyst—earnings, guidance, deal, or analyst action—was identified in available sources.
Filings2026-06-23+2.4%
TPL filed a new 8-K on 2026-06-23 with no same-day price movement (0%).
Upcoming catalysts & outlook
Next earnings
2026-08-05 (est.)
in 15 days
Thesis shift
Neutral / Mixed
bearish signal
Risk level
Medium
from change events

Frequently asked questions about TPL

Why did Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) stock move?

TPL fell 2.4% to $405.87. No single company-specific catalyst was confirmed during the move window, and it looks technical.

How much did TPL stock fall?

TPL lost 2.36% ($9.83) versus the prior close of $415.70, last trading at $405.87 on 0.6× average volume.

When is Texas Pacific Land Corporation's next earnings date?

TPL's next earnings report is estimated for 2026-08-05 — about 15 days away.

What is the analyst price target for TPL?

The consensus analyst price target for TPL is $639.00, about 57.4% above the current $405.87. Over the past 90 days, analysts recorded 0 upgrades, 0 maintains, and 0 downgrades.

How BestStocks tracks TPL

This page is generated automatically by BestStocks' change-detection system after its price and volume cleared TPL-specific materiality thresholds, triggering an evidence check. It draws on 3 tracked change events for TPL, cross-checked against the data sources listed below. Price, volume, and market-capitalization figures are the live intraday quote as of July 21, 2026 and refresh as new information is detected; for companies with multiple share classes, market-cap figures can differ by data source. Analyst price targets and ratings are FMP consensus. This is an educational summary of what changed and why — not personalized investment advice.

Data sources
FMP real-time & historical price dataSEC EDGAR filingsAnalyst ratings & price targets (FMP)Earnings calendar (FMP)
Educational research tool — not personalized investment advice. Data may be delayed.