Market closed · After hours · 6:24 PM ET
Last update: Nov 4, 2026, 6:23 PM ET
Texas Pacific Land Corporation
$287.65▼ 13.36% today
After Hours

Why Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) stock moved

Updated Nov 4, 2026

Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) shares tumbled 13.4% to $287.65 as of November 4, 2026, a sharp decline from the prior close of $332.00. BestStocks flagged the session as a major change for TPL. The move is tied to price move down. Below, we break down what changed for TPL, why it matters for investors, how the stock reacted, and the catalysts on the calendar.

What happened

TPL fell 13.4% to $287.65

Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) moved -11.51% from $325.05 to $287.65 on November 4, 2026, driven by pre-earnings caution ahead of its Q3 results announcement. The decline occurred despite TPL reporting Q3 earnings of $2.42 per share after market close, which beat the consensus estimate of $2.33 by 3.86%. Volume was 2.9x the 5-day average, and the stock reached a new 30-day low. Monitor TPL's November 4 after-hours conference call and any guidance updates, along with how the stock responds to the $2.42 beat in the following trading session.

This summary describes the catalyst and move as first detected on Nov 4, 2026, 4:39 PM EST; the stock has continued trading since, so the current price and percentage move (shown above) may be larger or smaller than the figures here.
Material / EarningsMedium confidence
Rel. volume
3.3×
Extreme
Vs peers
—
No comparable peers
Market cap
$19.8B
New York Stock Exchange
Analyst target
$639
+122.1% vs price
Price chart
Oct 5 – Nov 4
ENNFENNNN$287$328$370Oct 5Oct 13Oct 20Oct 28Nov 4
E earnings
F filing
A analyst
V/N other
click a marker to highlight
Change events — click to jump to details

What it means for Texas Pacific Land Corporation investors

For Texas Pacific Land Corporation investors, the recent signals add up to a strong bearish shift. Weighing against that: Material negative event; Sharp 13.4% decline — elevated risk. Wall Street's consensus price target sits at $639.00, implying +122.1% upside from $287.65. BestStocks rates the overall signal quality medium (75/100). With earnings due imminently, the next report is the most likely near-term test of the move.

TPL price reaction

TPL last traded at $287.65, down $44.35 (-13.36%) from the previous close of $332.00. The session traded on 3.3× average volume (extreme), so the move carried above-average conviction. Over the past month the stock has ranged between $287.65 and $369.13, and it currently sits about 0% of the way up that band.

Bullish and bearish analyst opinions on Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL)

Latest catalysta bearish counterpoint
The latest catalyst — a materially negative development — a bearish counterpoint that challenges the prevailing bullish analyst view.

The consensus analyst price target on Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) is $639.00, 122.1% above the recent $287.65. Here is how the bullish and bearish cases on TPL line up.

The bullish case

  • Wall Street's consensus price target of $639.00 implies +122.1% upside from $287.65.
  • The Street's most bullish target is $639.00 (+122.1%).

The bearish case

  • Material negative event.
  • Sharp 13.4% decline — elevated risk.
  • High volume 3.3x on decline — distribution signal.
  • Texas Pacific Land Corporation moved -6.79% intraday from $381.88 to $355.96.
  • TPL fell 4.30% to $418.81 on below-average volume (0.65x expected).
Bull vs bear balanceStrong Bearish Shift
BearishNeutralBullish
The latest catalyst moved the balance toward the bears — the hollow tick marks where it sat before.

Weighing both sides, BestStocks' composite read of recent signals is strongly bearish, as the bull-versus-bear meter above shows. This is an educational summary of the bull and bear case, not investment advice.

Analyst price targets and ratings are FMP consensus figures as of Nov 4, 2026; other aggregators may differ. High and low targets show the range of estimates, not forecasts.

Analyst expectations
Consensus target: $639+122.1%
Keybanc maintained Overweight · 2026-02-23
SEC filings watch
10-Q2026-11-04
Quarterly financial results
medium
8-K2026-11-04
Material event — review for impact
high
DEF 14A2026-09-25
Annual proxy — exec compensation & governance
low
8-K2026-09-25
Material event — review for impact
high
Peer context
TPL-13.4%

Previous notable changes for TPL

News2026-11-04-13.4%
TPL released third quarter financial results, showing operational and financial performance for the period.
Filings2026-11-04-13.4%
Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) filed a Form 8-K on November 4, 2026. The audit did not reveal the specific content of the filing.
Material / Earnings2026-11-04-13.4%
Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) reported EPS of $2.42 vs. consensus estimate of $2.33 for Q3 FY2026, beating expectations by 3.9%.
News2026-10-30+1.1%
TPL expects Q3 earnings driven by record royalty production and higher water disposal demand, partially offset by weaker water sales.
Upcoming catalysts & outlook
Next earnings
2026-11-04
in 0 days
Thesis shift
Strong Bearish Shift
bearish signal
Risk level
High
from change events

Frequently asked questions about TPL

Why did Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) stock move?

TPL tumbled 13.4% to $287.65. The move is associated with price move down.

How much did TPL stock fall?

TPL lost 13.36% ($44.35) versus the prior close of $332.00, last trading at $287.65 on 3.3× average volume.

When is Texas Pacific Land Corporation's next earnings date?

TPL's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-11-04 — about 0 days away.

What is the analyst price target for TPL?

The consensus analyst price target for TPL is $639.00, about 122.1% above the current $287.65. Over the past 90 days, analysts recorded 0 upgrades, 0 maintains, and 0 downgrades.

How BestStocks tracks TPL

This page is generated automatically by BestStocks' change-detection system after price move down was detected and verified against independent data sources. It draws on 20 tracked change events for TPL, cross-checked against the data sources listed below. Price, volume, and market-capitalization figures are the live intraday quote as of November 4, 2026 and refresh as new information is detected; for companies with multiple share classes, market-cap figures can differ by data source. Analyst price targets and ratings are FMP consensus. This is an educational summary of what changed and why — not personalized investment advice.

Data sources
FMP real-time & historical price dataSEC EDGAR filingsFMP earnings & estimatesAnalyst ratings & price targets (FMP)Earnings calendar (FMP)
Educational research tool — not personalized investment advice. Data may be delayed.