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United States Oil Fund, LP
$125.51 1.25% today
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Why United States Oil Fund, LP (USO) stock moved

Updated Jul 21, 2026

United States Oil Fund, LP (USO) shares rose 1.3% to $125.51 as of July 21, 2026, a modest gain from the prior close of $123.96. BestStocks flagged the session as a material change for USO. Below, we break down what changed for USO, why it matters for investors, how the stock reacted, and the catalysts on the calendar.

What happened

USO climbed 1.3% to $125.51

WTI crude oil futures surged 3.96% on July 13, 2026, driven by U.S. strikes on Iran and renewed fears of Strait of Hormuz supply disruptions, according to web search results. USO rallied 9.39% to $118.91—a larger move than the underlying commodity, consistent with the fund's leverage via short-term futures contracts. Volume reached 9.32M shares, running 2.15x the historical average for this time of day. Monitor further developments in U.S.-Iran tensions and any updates to OPEC+ production policy; track WTI futures settlement and any shifts in Strait of Hormuz risk premium through the close.

This summary describes the catalyst and move as first detected on Jul 13, 2026, 2:32 PM EDT; the stock has continued trading since, so the current price and percentage move (shown above) may be larger or smaller than the figures here.
Source: CNBC
ActivityWeak confidence
Rel. volume
0.8×
Below Avg
Vs peers
No comparable peers
Market cap
$14.9B
New York Stock Exchange Arca
Analyst target
$252
+100.9% vs price
Price chart
Jun 22 – Jul 21
VVVVVFVVV$103$114$126Jun 22Jun 29Jul 7Jul 14Jul 21
E earnings
F filing
A analyst
V/N other
click a marker to highlight
Change events — click to jump to details

What it means for United States Oil Fund, LP investors

For United States Oil Fund, LP investors, the recent signals are mixed, leaving the near-term picture neutral / mixed. On the constructive side: Positive 1.3% session move; United States Oil Fund, LP (USO) moved +3.91% from $119.30 to $123.96 on 2026-07-17. Weighing against that: United States Oil Fund, LP (USO) moved -2.84% from $112.21 to $109.02 on 2026-07-09; USO declined 0.88% intraday to $102.80, reversing recent strength. Wall Street's consensus price target sits at $252.21, implying +100.9% upside from $125.51. BestStocks rates the overall signal quality weak (0/100).

USO price reaction

USO last traded at $125.51, up $1.55 (+1.25%) from the previous close of $123.96. The session traded on 0.8× average volume (below avg), so participation was unremarkable. Over the past month the stock has ranged between $103.27 and $125.51, and it currently sits about 100% of the way up that band.

Bullish and bearish analyst opinions on United States Oil Fund, LP (USO)

The consensus analyst price target on United States Oil Fund, LP (USO) is $252.21, 100.9% above the recent $125.51. Here is how the bullish and bearish cases on USO line up.

The bullish case

  • Wall Street's consensus price target of $252.21 implies +100.9% upside from $125.51.
  • The Street's most bullish target is $252.21 (+100.9%).
  • Positive 1.3% session move.
  • United States Oil Fund, LP (USO) moved +3.91% from $119.30 to $123.96 on 2026-07-17.
  • WTI crude oil futures surged 3.96% on July 13, 2026, driven by U.S. strikes on Iran and renewed fears of Strait of Hormuz supply disruptions, according to web search results.

The bearish case

  • United States Oil Fund, LP (USO) moved -2.84% from $112.21 to $109.02 on 2026-07-09.
  • USO declined 0.88% intraday to $102.80, reversing recent strength.
  • USO fell 2.59% to $103.68 intraday, with volume running at 0.48x the historical average for this time of day.
Bull vs bear balanceNeutral / Mixed
BearishNeutralBullish

Weighing both sides, BestStocks' composite read of recent signals is roughly balanced, as the bull-versus-bear meter above shows. This is an educational summary of the bull and bear case, not investment advice.

Analyst price targets and ratings are FMP consensus figures as of Jul 21, 2026; other aggregators may differ. High and low targets show the range of estimates, not forecasts.

Analyst expectations
Consensus target: $252+100.9%
SEC filings watch
8-K2026-06-29
Material event — review for impact
high
8-K2026-05-28
Material event — review for impact
high
10-Q2026-05-08
Quarterly financial results
medium
8-K2026-04-29
Material event — review for impact
high
Peer context
USO+1.3%

Previous notable changes for USO

Activity2026-07-20+1.3%
United States Oil Fund, LP (USO) moved +1.25% from $123.96 to $125.51 on 2026-07-20, reaching a new 30-day high. We checked news, earnings, analyst updates, SEC filings, and corporate actions — no company-specific catalyst was found.
Activity2026-07-17+3.9%
United States Oil Fund, LP (USO) moved +3.91% from $119.30 to $123.96 on 2026-07-17. We checked news, earnings, analyst updates, filings, and corporate actions — no company-specific catalyst was found. The move appears to be technical, with USO reaching a new 30-day high on volume near its 5-day average.
Activity2026-07-15+1.0%
United States Oil Fund, LP (USO) moved +1.01% from $120.17 to $121.38 on 2026-07-15. We checked news, earnings, analyst updates, filings, and corporate actions — no company-specific catalyst was found. The move coincided with USO reaching a new 30-day high, though volume remained near its 5-day average.
Risk2026-07-09-2.9%
United States Oil Fund, LP (USO) moved -2.84% from $112.21 to $109.02 on 2026-07-09. We checked news, earnings, analyst updates, SEC filings, and corporate actions — no company-specific catalyst was found. Volume remained near its 5-day average.
Upcoming catalysts & outlook
Next earnings
Unknown
Thesis shift
Neutral / Mixed
bearish signal
Risk level
High
from change events

Frequently asked questions about USO

Why did United States Oil Fund, LP (USO) stock move?

USO rose 1.3% to $125.51. The move coincided with the context summarized above, though no single company-specific catalyst was independently confirmed.

How much did USO stock rise?

USO gained 1.25% ($1.55) versus the prior close of $123.96, last trading at $125.51 on 0.8× average volume.

What is the analyst price target for USO?

The consensus analyst price target for USO is $252.21, about 100.9% above the current $125.51. Over the past 90 days, analysts recorded 0 upgrades, 0 maintains, and 0 downgrades.

How BestStocks tracks USO

This page is generated automatically by BestStocks' change-detection system after its price and volume cleared USO-specific materiality thresholds, triggering an evidence check. It draws on 9 tracked change events for USO, cross-checked against the data sources listed below. Price, volume, and market-capitalization figures are the live intraday quote as of July 21, 2026 and refresh as new information is detected; for companies with multiple share classes, market-cap figures can differ by data source. Analyst price targets and ratings are FMP consensus. This is an educational summary of what changed and why — not personalized investment advice.

Data sources
FMP real-time & historical price dataSEC EDGAR filingsAnalyst ratings & price targets (FMP)
Educational research tool — not personalized investment advice. Data may be delayed.